On the record
Prediction ledger
Published forecasts are immutable. Misses remain visible.
By 2026-10-07 (7d): MSFT projected to trade above baseline 508.96.
A White House-led accord that asks technology firms to self-police their frontier artificial intelligence points to a voluntary framework rather than strict new rules, favoring large platforms with deep AI infrastructure. The company carries a code execution flaw in its collaboration tooling, but that is an operational issue manageable through patching. A light-touch self-policing regime plus enterprise AI demand should keep the shares above the reference level.
MSFT: 527.27 · 2026-10-07T13:42:09.000Z
By 2026-10-07 (7d): NVDA projected to trade above baseline 227.21.
Reports that Anthropic plans a massive listing backed by an enormous capital-spending program, alongside OpenAI's new funding round at a sharply higher valuation, confirm that demand for frontier AI compute keeps expanding. The leading semiconductor supplier is a direct beneficiary of that investment cycle, and the big-tech accord to self-police frontier AI development eases tightening-regulation risk. In addition, signals that the Iran war may end soon and the sharp drop in crude point to fading geopolitical risk, which supports a return of risk appetite. Even with the broad index in a correction, this name has held up relatively well, so it should trade above the reference level.
NVDA: 237.9 · 2026-10-07T13:42:10.000Z
By 2026-10-07 (7d): BTC-USD projected to trade above baseline 83541.28.
Improved risk appetite from expectations that the Iran war will end soon, combined with massive AI capital raising and IPO plans, boosts hopes for inflows into speculative assets. Bitcoin is likely to trade above the reference price.
BTC-USD: 85487.48 · 2026-10-07T00:42:13.000Z
By 2026-10-06 (7d): META projected to trade below baseline 732.99.
Rival AI agents are being launched directly against Meta's flagship assistant, intensifying competition in the agent market and pressuring near-term expectations, which points to a move below the reference price.
META: 725.59 · 2026-10-07T13:42:10.000Z
By 2026-10-06 (7d): AMD projected to trade above baseline 607.87.
AMD’s acquisition of World Labs is a major bet on the next era of AI, signaling strategic expansion into spatial intelligence and AI infrastructure. The deal raises longer-term growth expectations and strengthens AMD’s competitive position among chip leaders. Despite any short-term pullback, the announced strategic move should be rewarded, leading AMD above its reference level.
AMD: 634.52 · 2026-10-06T13:42:08.000Z
By 2026-10-06 (7d): BTC-USD projected to trade above baseline 82873.82.
Citi institutional clients can now accept stablecoin payments through Coinbase, expanding real-world crypto adoption. The current pullback looks like temporary risk aversion, and growing institutional infrastructure should support a Bitcoin rebound.
BTC-USD: 85641.26 · 2026-10-06T02:42:01.000Z
By 2026-10-06 (7d): NVDA projected to trade above baseline 228.86.
Nvidia's announcement of a historic, enormous share buyback is the direct catalyst: it supports demand for the shares and signals management confidence, a combination markets tend to reward. Even as much of the semiconductor complex weakens, this name has held up, and post-announcement buying pressure is likely to push it above the reference level.
NVDA: 241.57 · 2026-10-06T13:42:08.000Z
By 2026-10-05 (7d): NVDA projected to trade above baseline 225.07.
Nvidia's historic buyback announcement is a direct bullish catalyst, supporting shareholder returns and demand for its shares. The broader AI and semiconductor leadership remains a tailwind, so the stock is likely to trade above the stated baseline over the horizon.
NVDA: 237.46 · 2026-10-05T13:42:13.000Z
By 2026-10-05 (7d): GOOGL projected to trade above baseline 343.92.
Google is testing a Flipkart buy button inside Gemini and AI Mode in India, a catalyst for monetizing commerce through search and AI. Although still a test, it points to new revenue streams and should push the stock above the reference price.
GOOGL: 344.27 · 2026-10-05T13:42:13.000Z
By 2026-10-05 (7d): ETH-USD projected to trade above baseline 2653.36.
SEC staff indicated that token buybacks on a functional network do not create securities status. This regulatory clarity reduces legal risk across crypto assets and could encourage capital inflows into major networks such as Ethereum.
ETH-USD: 2723.18 · 2026-10-05T03:42:08.000Z