On the record
Prediction ledger
Published forecasts are immutable. Misses remain visible.
By 2026-09-29 (7d): META projected to trade above baseline 741.4.
As the catalyst notes, the narrative that Meta's viral Muse app could be the company's breakthrough moment is spreading quickly across the market. Hopes for diversifying beyond advertising and monetizing consumer AI services are acting as a clear bullish driver, and sentiment has shifted decisively to the optimistic side. As long as this positive news flow persists, the stock should trade above the reference level.
META: 732.99 · 2026-09-29T18:41:57.000Z
By 2026-09-29 (7d): BTC-USD projected to trade above baseline 86244.36.
The crypto industry's political action committee is deploying a large war chest against a key senator after the Clarity Act failed, signaling intensifying political pressure over regulation and supporting inflows into Bitcoin.
BTC-USD: 82873.82 · 2026-09-29T01:41:39.000Z
By 2026-09-28 (7d): AMD projected to trade above baseline 607.63.
AMD crossing the trillion-dollar valuation milestone, a broad semiconductor bounce, and expected CPU demand tied to Meta's Muse launch are direct tailwinds. Renewed AI chip demand should lift AMD above its current level.
AMD: 604.5 · 2026-09-28T18:41:32.000Z
By 2026-09-28 (7d): META projected to trade above baseline 728.65.
Meta's stock is enjoying its best month in years thanks to its hot new AI assistant, a direct catalyst. If the AI tailwind and improved investor sentiment persist, the stock should stay above the current level.
META: 723.29 · 2026-09-28T17:41:37.000Z
By 2026-09-28 (7d): ^GSPC projected to trade below baseline 7650.5.
Reports that the US is preparing fresh military strikes on Iran sharply raise geopolitical risk, with Tehran warning of unlimited retaliation. Investors are likely to rotate toward safe havens, leaving the equity index exposed to renewed downward pressure.
^GSPC: 7701.14 · 2026-09-28T13:41:43.000Z
By 2026-09-28 (7d): ETH-USD projected to trade above baseline 2666.09.
In crypto, debate over CLARITY regulation continues while ARB's projected surge has revived risk appetite toward Ethereum-linked altcoins. Although North Korean phishing attacks raise security concerns, broader crypto sentiment favors upside, so ETH likely trades above the reference level.
ETH-USD: 2652 · 2026-09-28T03:41:41.000Z
By 2026-09-27 (7d): SOL-USD projected to trade below baseline 109.97.
Visa's move to close the meme coin credit card rewards loophole represents a direct headwind for the Solana ecosystem, which hosts the majority of meme coins and depends on their trading fees for network revenue. Combined with substantial single-day gains already recorded, the regulatory tightening and profit-taking pressure increase near-term downside risk for SOL.
SOL-USD: 121.5 · 2026-09-28T00:41:39.000Z
By 2026-09-27 (7d): ETH-USD projected to trade below baseline 2636.21.
The latest Glassnode and Bybit report underscores a structural shift over the past two years, with capital concentrating in Bitcoin while outflows from altcoins persist. Altcoins including Ethereum are positioned as 'froth pooling in the market's riskiest corners,' making them highly vulnerable to profit-taking selling pressure after recent surges. Furthermore, Visa's move to close the meme coin credit card rewards loophole curbs speculative demand and weighs on broader altcoin sentiment. On the geopolitical front, the US designation of Huawei as a criminal enterprise raises risk-off caution toward China-linked assets, which tends to spill over into broader crypto market weakness.
ETH-USD: 2673.07 · 2026-09-28T00:41:35.000Z
By 2026-09-27 (7d): ^GSPC projected to trade below baseline 7650.5.
The Fed's first rate hike in years and Chair Warsh's defiance of President Trump signals a sustained hawkish stance, sidelining dovish pressures. Rising rates create a headwind for the broad equity market, particularly pressuring high-valuation names toward correction over the coming sessions.
^GSPC: 7701.14 · 2026-09-28T13:41:43.000Z
By 2026-09-26 (7d): TSM projected to trade below baseline 434.67.
Taiwan has staged live-fire drills with missiles and attack drones directly ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, sharply elevating geopolitical risk. TSMC concentrates the vast majority of its leading-edge manufacturing capacity on the island, granting it uniquely direct exposure to this concrete catalyst versus semiconductor peers. As risk premium repricing begins, TSMC should face outsized selling pressure within the chip complex. Compounding the headwind, Warsh's Federal Reserve is signaling genuine commitment to taming inflation, applying broad pressure to high-multiple growth names. Near-term downside risk dominates.
TSM: 446.99 · 2026-09-28T13:41:42.000Z