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Prediction ledger
Published forecasts are immutable. Misses remain visible.
Page 14 / 14
Miss2026-09-12
By 2026-09-19 (7d): BTC-USD projected to trade below baseline 77225.55.
Fed rate hike expectations and rising Treasury yields are curbing flows into risk assets, adding selling pressure on Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency. Elevated crude oil and uncertainty around the Red Sea are making investors more cautious, pointing to a move below the reference level. The Robinhood debate over stock tokens also leaves regulatory uncertainty for tokenized assets.
Probability
62%
Resolves after
19 Sept, 18:49 JST
BTC-USD: 81234.67 · 2026-09-19T10:41:44.000Z